Over the last 30 years, a fifth of polls have called the wrong winner. Here are 3 things poll-watchers need to understand

Labor needs substantially more than 50% of the two-party preferred vote – 51.8% according to the pendulum – to win the majority of seats, 76. This equates to a swing of 3.3 percentage points.

© La Conversation - mardi 10 mai 2022