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Are American voters actually gloomy about the economy, or is something else going on?

By Erin Kay Lockwood, Assistant Professor of Political Science, University of California, Irvine

Polling is looking grim for Republicans ahead of the U.S. midterm elections on Nov. 3, 2026, due in large part to deep pessimism among the public about the economy.

At first glance, this might seem surprising. With the exception…

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