NZ election poll watch: right majority possible even if Opportunity enters parliament

By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

With the New Zealand election two-and-a-half weeks away, the latest 1News Verian poll has the right extending its lead over the left, meaning the right may be able to win a majority without relying on the Opportunity Party (if it enters parliament).

Other recently released polls also have the right continuing to lead.

The Verian polls for 1News have been released every week since late September. The latest was conducted October 15–19 from a sample of 1,003:…

Read complete article

~	New long-clawed British dinosaur is the first of its kind in Europe

~	Palestinian citizens face a painful choice in Israel’s election: To vote or not

~	A scuff on your bag, a dent in your mug – and suddenly it feels like time for a new one

~	Who should have a say in which species are saved? The California condor offers lessons for a global biodiversity treaty

~	I’m a Philly forensic psychologist who has conducted dozens of psychopathic evaluations – here’s why an evaluation of R.C. Horsch in the ‘80s didn’t identify him as a possible psychopath

~	State takeovers of struggling Texas school districts come at a high cost, with little evidence of success

~	Are transgender sports bans really about protecting women? Survey data tells a different story

~	Are partisan politics even changing up our accents? They just might be, y’all

~	How governments worldwide are shaping what AI can say about politics

~	US inequality is getting worse in ways you might not expect