The US can’t win with force in the Strait of Hormuz – Iran must be offered a realistic incentive to settle

By Andreas Krieg, Associate Professor, Defence Studies Department, King's College London

Iranian attacks on Gulf vessels trying to transit via Omani sovereign waters have once again pulled the region into a tit-for-tat spiral of escalation.

The US responded by cancelling the waiver permitting Iranian oil exports. Two nights of punitive airstrikes by the US air force against targets across southern Iran followed. Iran answered with ballistic missile and drone attacks on US installations in Bahrain and Kuwait.

The reluctance of both Iran and the Trump administration to return to full-scale…

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