Israel and Lebanon have a long history of failed ceasefires – will this time be any different?

By Anthony Wanis-St John, Associate Professor, American University
Federico Manfredi Firmian, Visiting Scholar, American University

If implemented, the framework agreement hammered out between Lebanon and Israel in June 2026 could serve as the most consequential agreement between the two countries in nearly 80 years.

But that is a big “if.” The deal envisions peaceful relations between the two states and lays out a road map to disarm the Shiite militant group Hezbollah, secure Israel’s full withdrawal from Lebanon…

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