Major YouGov poll has Labor easily winning a majority of seats in election

By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

A YouGov MRP poll has Labor clearly winning a majority of seats in the federal election – 84 of the 150 seats in the House of Representatives.

Labor also leads the Coalition by 53–47% in new polls from Redbridge and Spectre Strategy.

Respondent-allocated preference flows from various pollsters do not imply a big Coalition gain from the 2022 election preference flow method.

YouGov conducted a national MRP poll…

Read complete article

~	Friday essay: at 42, my mother discovered her half-sister. Would her childhood have been bearable if they grew up together?

~	Which medications are commonly prescribed for autistic people and why?

~	Who’s eating publishers’ lunch? The rising costs and shrinking margins of Australian books

~	Election quiz: have you been paying attention?

~	The rise of right-wing Christian populism and its powerful impact on Australian politics

~	Tourism to the US is tanking. Flight Centre is facing a $100m hit as a result

~	The Coalition’s costings show some savings, but a larger deficit than Labor in the first two years

~	US: Repeal Alien Enemies Act

~	The fight for abortion rights in Sri Lanka

~	The Brooke Bellamy accusations join a long tradition of cookbook scandals – from Belle Gibson to bone broth formula