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The dip in the US birthrate isn't a crisis, but the fall in immigration may be

By Adrian Raftery, Boeing International Professor of Statistics and Sociology, University of Washington

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced in May 2021 that the nation’s total fertility rate had reached 1.64 children per woman in 2020, dropping 4% from 2019, a record low for the nation.

The news led to many stories about a “baby…

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