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Coronavirus: new study claims that a five-day warning ruined the last lockdown

By Christian Yates, Senior Lecturer in Mathematical Biology, University of Bath

On September 21, the UK government’s Science Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) published a document calling for a national circuit-breaker lockdown to curb the steadily increasing cases of COVID. The Sage scientists warned that “not acting now to reduce cases will result in a very large epidemic with catastrophic consequences in terms of direct COVID-related deaths and the ability of the health service to meet…

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