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Will El Niño drought hit food prices in South Africa? Earlier rains and grain stocks offer hope

By Wandile Sihlobo, Senior Fellow, Department of Agricultural Economics, Stellenbosch University

The likely impact of the expected El Niño on South Africa’s agriculture and food prices in 2027 is a major point of discussion among analysts and economists in the country.

By mid-2026, weather forecasts were signalling that the world was heading towards a severe El Niño. The…

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