One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead

By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

Has One Nation reached its polling peak? That’s the intriguing question from the latest batch of polls.

On Friday I covered a DemosAU poll that was one of Labor’s worst since the 2025 election. Newspoll and Resolve give Labor clear leads, and both have the combined vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 45% (down two in Newspoll and down one in Resolve). That’s four points lower than in DemosAU.

There is disagreement between these polls on Angus…

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