Late deciders, higher turnout: what the Gorton and Denton byelection taught us about voters

By Hannah Bunting, Senior Lecturer in Quantitative British Politics and Co-director of The Elections Centre, University of Exeter
Jessica C. Smith, Associate Professor, University of Southampton
Lotte Hargrave, Lecturer in Quantitative Political Science, University of Manchester

Hannah Spencer’s win in the Gorton and Denton parliamentary byelection was a momentous victory for the Green party. The party’s first-ever byelection win overturned a large Labour majority and put the general election winners into third place, behind Reform UK.

The Greens are eager to position it as a sign of things to come, particularly in the May elections. Here’s what voter trends in Gorton and Denton can tell us…

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