Wargaming: the surprisingly effective tool that can help us prepare for modern crises

By Natalia Zwarts, Research Leader in Wargaming at RAND Europe, RAND Europe
Ondrej Palicka, Junior researcher, RAND Europe

Consider the following scenario. There’s a ransomware attack, enhanced by AI, which paralyses NHS systems – delaying medical care across the country.

Simultaneously, deepfake videos circulate online, spreading false information about the government’s response. At the same time, a foreign power quietly manipulates critical mineral markets to exert pressure on the economy.

The scenario is not just a theory. It is a situation waiting to be rehearsed. And research suggests an old tool called wargaming…

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