5 forecasts early climate models got right – the evidence is all around you

By Nadir Jeevanjee, Research Physical Scientist, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Climate models are complex, just like the world they mirror. They simultaneously simulate the interacting, chaotic flow of Earth’s atmosphere and oceans, and they run on the world’s largest supercomputers.

Critiques of climate science, such as the report written for the Department of Energy by a panel in 2025, often point to this complexity to argue that these models are too uncertain to help us understand present-day warming…

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