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Pooling multiple models during COVID-19 pandemic provided more reliable projections about an uncertain future

By Emily Howerton, Postdoctoral Scholar in Biology, Penn State
Cecile Viboud, Senior Research Scientist, National Institutes of Health
Justin Lessler, Professor of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill

Policymakers rely on models during uncertain times to figure out how their choices could affect the future. Over the pandemic, an ensemble of many COVID-19 models outperformed any one alone.

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