Final Victorian Newspoll gives Labor a large lead

By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

The Victorian state election is today. There are 88 single-member lower house seats with members elected by preferential voting, and 40 upper house seats in eight five-member electorates. The election in the lower house seat of Narracan has been postponed owing to a candidate’s death.

The final Victorian pre-election Newspoll, conducted November 21-24 from a sample of 1,226, gave Labor a 54.5-45.5 lead, a 0.5-point gain for Labor since the last Newspoll three weeks ago. Primary votes were 38% Labor (up one), 35% Coalition (down two), 12% Greens (down one) and 15% for all Others (up…

Read complete article

~	Why the pathology bulk-billing campaign is more about driving industry profits than saving you money

~	Restoring coastal habitat boosts wildlife numbers by 61% – but puzzling failures mean we can still do better

~	TikTok fears point to larger problem: Poor media literacy in the social media age

~	Donald Trump trial: why it took so long to select a jury and how the process is different to the UK

~	Bitcoin is halving again – what does that mean for the cryptocurrency and the market?

~	Liz Truss: an economist explains what she got wrong (and what she’s actually right about)

~	Domestic politics will be a key factor in how far things escalate between Israel and Iran

~	Peter Higgs’ famous particle discovery is now at the heart of strategies to unlock the secrets of the universe

~	Why you shouldn’t be afraid to start running after middle age

~	The world’s oldest conjoined twins have died – what we know about this rare condition