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A Republican bubble? How pollsters and pundits got the US midterms so wrong

By Anthony Pickles, Lecturer in Social Anthropology and International Development, University of East Anglia
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During the month leading up to the US midterm elections, talk of a commanding Republican victory went from a “red wave” to a “red tsunami”. The Republicans were on for the win. The polls and gambling markets, or so-called “prediction markets”, were confident.

Only the red wave never broke – Democrats tightened their shaky grip on the Senate and, while they lost…The Conversation

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