How a quest for mathematical truth and complex models can lead to useless scientific predictions – new research

By Arnald Puy, Associate Professor in Social and Environmental Uncertainties, University of Birmingham

A dominant view in science is that there is a mathematical truth structuring the universe. It is assumed that the scientist’s job is to decipher these mathematical relations: once understood, they can be translated into mathematical models. Running the resulting “silicon reality” in a computer may then provide us with useful insights into how the world works.

Since science keeps on revealing secrets, models keep getting bigger. They integrate discoveries and newly found mechanisms to better reflect the world around us. Many scholars assume that more detailed models

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