Superforecasters: what pandemic planners can learn from the world's best predictors

By Gabriel Recchia, Research Associate, Winton Centre for Risk and Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge

Experts got it catastrophically wrong, according to Dominic Cummings, UK prime minister Boris Johnson’s former chief adviser. Cummings has argued that the UK government’s official scientific advice in March 2020 hugely misunderstood how the pandemic would play out, leading to a delay in locking down that cost thousands of lives.

According to Cummings, it was certain specialists with less knowledge of pandemics or medicine – such as data scientist Ben…

Read complete article

~	Rough seas or smooth sailing? The cruise industry is booming despite environmental concerns

~	Wondering what Australia might look like in a hotter world? Take a glimpse into the distant past

~	Psychological drama, wilderness reality and everyone’s favourite dog: the best of streaming this May

~	GP clinics are going to pay more payroll tax, which could reduce bulk billing

~	Australians are more likely to have partners who don’t share their political views than 25 years ago. Are we becoming more tolerant?

~	The Eta Aquariid meteor shower is about to peak and could be the best this century – here’s how to catch it

~	Australians lose $5,200 a minute to scammers. There’s a simple thing the government could do to reduce this. Why won’t they?

~	Violence against women is both a legal and cultural problem. What can we do to address it?

~	‘Make me a sandwich’: our survey’s disturbing picture of how some boys treat their teachers

~	Meta’s Canadian news ban could put people at risk during public emergencies