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Coalition has large lead in NSW as Nats easily hold Upper Hunter at byelection

By Adrian Beaumont, Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

A recent Resolve poll of New South Wales voters for The Sydney Morning Herald has given the Coalition 44% of the primary vote, Labor 28%, the Greens 12% and the Shooters Fishers and Farmers 4%. This is the first nonpartisan poll of NSW state voting intentions since the last election.

At the March 2019 election, primary votes were Coalition 41.6%, Labor…

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