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News Analysis
Lebanon’s Palestinian Dilemma: The Struggle over Nahr al-Bared
Beirut/Brussels - Although attention naturally is focused on possible ripple effects on Lebanon from Syria’s conflict, it would be wrong to ignore the unresolved legacy of the battle that shook the Nahr al-Bared Palestinian refugee camp five years ago. The risk of renewed flare-up, already significant, is now compounded by the regional crisis. (Full Story)
Iran’s Nuclear Program. The Risk of War and Lessons from Turkey
Istanbul/Washington/Brussels - As the standoff over Iran’s nuclear program edges closer to military confrontation, talks may be a way out but require mutual compromise and Western abandonment of the notion that a mix of threats and crippling sanctions will force Iran to back down. (Full Story)
Myanmar: A New Peace Initiative
Jakarta/Brussels - After demonstrating commitment to an extraordinary series of social, economic and political reforms, Myanmar’s new government has launched a bold peace initiative with potential to resolve the devastating 60-year civil war with ethnic groups. (Full Story)
The Syrian crisis enters its most dangerous stage
The Syrian crisis has entered its most dangerous stage, requiring urgent attention to issues that the international community and Syrian opposition have largely been ignoring. (Full Story)
Syria. Every effort should be made to maximise the chances of success of the the Arab League's proposal
Brussels - Syria's acceptance of the Arab League proposal to defuse the crisis presents an eleventh-hour opportunity to seek a negotiated transition before the conflict takes an even uglier turn.  (Full Story)
Turkey: Ending the PKK Insurgency
Istanbul/Brussels - To head off a serious escalation of the armed conflict, Turkey and the Turkish Kurd nationalist movement must immediately step back from the trap of a new cycle of tit-for-tat military and terrorist attacks that have killed 110 people since June. (Full Story)
Curb Your Enthusiasm: Israel and Palestine after the UN
Ramallah/Jerusalem/Washington/Brussels - A UN resolution endorsing Palestinian statehood should produce a tangible gain for the Palestinians while providing some reassurance to Israelis, and, above all, be followed by maximum, collective restraint to prevent a cycle of mutual retaliation that would work to the detriment of all. (Full Story)
Yemen. The risk of a full-scale civil war
Sanaa/Brussels - In Yemen, political negotiations have given way to violent confrontation. Hostilities erupted on 23 May between military forces controlled by President Ali Abdullah Saleh’s son and nephews and fighters loyal to the preeminent sheikh of the powerful Hashed confederation, Sadiq al-Ahmar. (Full Story)
Tunisia's way
Tunis/Brussels, 28 April 2011: As Tunisia continues its transition to democracy, it will need to balance the urge for radical political change against the requirement of stability; integrate Islamism into the new landscape; and, with international help, tackle deep socio-economic problems. (Full Story)
What’s in store for US-Pakistan relations post-bin Laden?
by Huma Yusuf

Washington, DC - Scenes of rejoicing in Washington and New York accompanied the news that Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden had been killed by US special forces on Sunday. But in Pakistan, many remained glued to their television sets, wondering what this event means for their nation’s security and sovereignty. (Full Story)

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