Moscow attacks: why the Kremlin may have ignored any terrorist warnings from the CIA

By Robert M. Dover, Professor of Intelligence and National Security, University of Hull

The attack on the Crocus City concert hall in the Moscow suburbs, which left 137 people dead, has again raised questions about the effectiveness of intelligence in identifying and preventing massive acts of terrorism.

Intelligence about such events is rarely precise. Often it is made up of fragments of information or hearsay, spread across policing and intelligence agencies and across international boundaries. Intelligence analysis…

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